Surprise, surprise. Fox News says it looks like Alabama Democrat Doug Jones for the win.
According to the latest Fox poll, Jones holds a whopping 10 point lead over his sexual predator opponent Roy Moore in the Alabama race for U.S. Senate.
With greater party loyalty and interest in the special election among Democrats, Jones has the advantage in the race as of this polling. He receives 50% to Moore’s 40%, with 1-in-10 undecided or supporting another candidate (which could make a difference Tuesday).
The Fox poll shows that the Democrat candidate is the choice of nonwhites by 76 points (83-7 percent), by 31 points among voters under age 45 (59-28), and by 20 among women (54-34). That jumps to 46 points among women under age 45 (67-21 percent).
It also shows that the strong moral character of a candidate is more important to Alabama voters than how the candidate will vote in the Senate (48-33 percent). That’s a yuuuuge 15 point margin.
So it seems that while Moore and his supporters call the women accusing him of sexual misconduct all liars, Alabama voters believe the sexual misconduct allegations against Moore are true (39-33%).
Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who conducts the Fox News Poll with Republican counterpart Daron Shaw says, “This appears to be a special, special election with blacks and young voters animated by a caustic Republican candidate and the chance of winning a statewide election with national implications, and at the same time some Republicans and many moderates are turned off by Moore, too.”
“It’s clear Jones is positioned to pull off the upset because his supporters are unified and energized, and Moore’s are conflicted and diffident,” continues Shaw.
Of course, it’s impossible to predict who in the deep red state will show up to vote in the special election, a time of year more people “go to the mall than the voting booth.”
The poll was conducted December 7-10, 2017, by telephone (landline and cellphone) with live interviewers among a sample of 1,127 voters selected from a statewide voter file in Alabama.
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